Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#62
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#75
Pace66.5#195
Improvement-0.4#191

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#43
Improvement+1.4#94

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#122
Improvement-1.7#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.0% n/a n/a
First Round6.8% n/a n/a
Second Round2.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 188   @ Western Kentucky W 72-61 71%     1 - 0 +12.9 -1.7 +14.0
  Nov 17, 2011 170   Georgia Tech W 66-53 77%     2 - 0 +12.8 +5.9 +8.9
  Nov 18, 2011 44   Seton Hall L 70-78 45%     2 - 1 +0.8 +1.4 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2011 94   Tulsa W 79-75 59%     3 - 1 +9.2 +15.1 -5.6
  Nov 23, 2011 48   @ Iona L 99-104 2OT 33%     3 - 2 +7.0 +4.3 +3.8
  Nov 26, 2011 128   Penn St. W 65-47 79%     4 - 2 +17.2 -8.6 +25.4
  Nov 30, 2011 63   Drexel W 62-49 63%     5 - 2 +17.1 -5.0 +22.8
  Dec 04, 2011 174   @ American L 60-66 67%     5 - 3 -3.1 -1.9 -2.0
  Dec 07, 2011 191   Boston University W 75-68 88%     6 - 3 +2.0 +4.7 -2.4
  Dec 10, 2011 28   Creighton W 80-71 49%     7 - 3 +16.8 +0.0 +16.3
  Dec 17, 2011 83   Villanova W 74-58 69%     8 - 3 +18.5 +4.8 +14.4
  Dec 21, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 81-72 94%     9 - 3 -1.3 -6.6 +4.9
  Dec 28, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 81-50 94%     10 - 3 +21.4 +2.7 +18.4
  Dec 31, 2011 49   @ Harvard L 69-74 34%     10 - 4 +6.9 +3.9 +2.9
  Jan 04, 2012 114   @ Duquesne W 84-82 OT 52%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +9.1 +5.8 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2012 151   Charlotte L 52-57 82%     11 - 5 1 - 1 -7.1 -19.4 +12.3
  Jan 11, 2012 265   Fordham W 80-62 93%     12 - 5 2 - 1 +8.6 +9.2 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts L 62-71 41%     12 - 6 2 - 2 +0.8 -0.7 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2012 61   @ Xavier L 55-68 36%     12 - 7 2 - 3 -1.9 -7.7 +4.9
  Jan 21, 2012 141   @ Penn L 80-84 58%     12 - 8 +1.5 +10.7 -9.2
  Jan 25, 2012 65   Dayton W 77-63 63%     13 - 8 3 - 3 +18.0 +7.1 +11.6
  Jan 28, 2012 35   @ Temple L 60-78 27%     13 - 9 3 - 4 -4.0 -3.0 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2012 111   @ Richmond W 70-60 50%     14 - 9 4 - 4 +17.5 +0.7 +17.1
  Feb 04, 2012 53   La Salle W 70-66 61%     15 - 9 5 - 4 +8.8 -0.3 +9.0
  Feb 08, 2012 20   Saint Louis L 60-72 42%     15 - 10 5 - 5 -2.3 -2.8 -0.3
  Feb 11, 2012 78   Massachusetts W 73-62 67%     16 - 10 6 - 5 +14.0 +0.3 +13.4
  Feb 15, 2012 215   @ Rhode Island W 80-69 75%     17 - 10 7 - 5 +11.6 +14.8 -2.0
  Feb 18, 2012 167   @ George Washington W 73-66 66%     18 - 10 8 - 5 +10.3 +6.9 +3.8
  Feb 22, 2012 111   Richmond L 49-52 75%     18 - 11 8 - 6 -2.3 -14.2 +11.2
  Feb 25, 2012 35   Temple W 82-72 51%     19 - 11 9 - 6 +17.2 +11.8 +5.7
  Feb 29, 2012 57   @ St. Bonaventure L 93-98 2OT 35%     19 - 12 9 - 7 +6.5 +15.1 -8.1
  Mar 06, 2012 151   Charlotte W 80-64 82%     20 - 12 +13.9 +9.7 +4.4
  Mar 09, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure L 68-71 48%     20 - 13 +5.1 +9.0 -4.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 13.0% 13.0% 12.3 0.0 1.2 7.3 4.3 0.2 87.0 13.0%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 13.0% 0.0% 13.0% 12.3 0.0 1.2 7.3 4.3 0.2 87.0 13.0%